Inflation and two central banks’ meetings

CEE Insights , 13. Jan.
Inflation and two central banks meetings
Inflation and two central banks meetings
This week in CEE

This week is all about inflation across the region. In a few countries, we already know the price development, thanks to flash estimates; apart from Slovakia, inflation rates increased in December. This week, Czechia, Hungary, Romania and Serbia will release their December inflation figures. None of the countries expect inflation to have gone down at the end of the year. As far as price development is concerned, Croatia and Czechia will release producer prices for December as well. In Romania and Poland, central banks are to hold rate setting meetings, and we expect stability of rates in both countries. Finally, in Slovakia and Romania, wage growth will be released, while in Romania, Poland, Slovakia and Serbia, trade and current account data will be published.

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Bond market developments

In case you missed
CEE: Some of the CEE countries managed to avoid recession. Labor market untouched by slowdown HR: Technical recession, but brighter outlook. We revise our growth forecast up to 1.0% in 2023. RO: Slow road to recovery for manufacturing. 4Q22 GDP in line with expectations. January inflation surprised to downside SK: Change of price lists in services. Labour market still on a positive trajectory with solid economic growth at the end of the year. Fitch affirmed Slovakia’s A with negative outlook. SI: 4Q22 GDP growth decelerating to 0.2% y/y