GDP structure, central bank and inflation

CEE Insights , 26. May
GDP structure, central bank and inflation
GDP structure, central bank and inflation
This week in CEE

This week, there are several economic events taking place. In Hungary, a central bank meeting is scheduled for Tuesday; we expect stability of rates. In Croatia, we will see 1Q25 GDP, including the structure. In Czechia, the structure will be published at the end of the week as well. Other than that, retail sales growth in April will be released in Slovenia, Serbia, Croatia and Poland. In Serbia and Croatia, industrial output will also be published, Trade data will be released in several CEE countries (Serbia, Croatia, Hungary). Finally, in Poland and Slovakia, flash inflation for May will be published. In Romania, there are no economic events, but the new president is to begin negotiations to form a new government. On Friday, after market close, Moodys will evaluate Hungary, which already has a negative outlook. Although no improvement has been recorded on the issues pointed out as weaknesses, a negative outlook is likely to prevail.

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In case you missed
CEE: Some of the CEE countries managed to avoid recession. Labor market untouched by slowdown HR: Technical recession, but brighter outlook. We revise our growth forecast up to 1.0% in 2023. RO: Slow road to recovery for manufacturing. 4Q22 GDP in line with expectations. January inflation surprised to downside SK: Change of price lists in services. Labour market still on a positive trajectory with solid economic growth at the end of the year. Fitch affirmed Slovakia’s A with negative outlook. SI: 4Q22 GDP growth decelerating to 0.2% y/y